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Study projects increasing burden of heart failure


By 2030, United States taxpayers each could be paying $244 a year to care for heart failure patients, according to an American Heart Association policy statement.

The statement, published April 24 on the website of the journal Circulation: Heart Failure, predicts the number of people with heart failure could climb 46%, from 5 million in 2012 to 8 million in 2030. Direct and indirect costs to treat heart failure could more than double, from $31 billion to $70 billion.

“If we don’t improve or reduce the incidence of heart failure by preventing and treating the underlying conditions, there will be a large monetary and health burden on the country,” Paul A. Heidenreich, MD, MS, professor of medicine at Stanford University School of Medicine and director of the Chronic Heart Failure Quality Enhancement Research Initiative at the VA Health Care System in Palo Alto, Calif., said in a news release.

“The costs will be paid for by every adult in this country, not just every adult with heart failure.”

The rising incidence is fueled by the aging population and an increase in the number of people with conditions such as ischemic heart disease, hypertension and diabetes. Being older, a smoker, a minority or poor also are risk factors. “Awareness of risk factors and adequately treating them is the greatest need,” Heidenreich said.

Heart failure is the leading cause of hospitalization for Americans older than 65. “Heart failure is a disease of the elderly,” Heidenreich said. “Because our population is aging, it will become more common and the cost to treat heart failure will become a significant burden to the United States over the next 20 years unless something is done to reduce the age-specific incidence.”

The statement includes recommendations on lessening the impact of heart failure and managing the rising number of Americans with the condition:

• More effective dissemination and use of guideline-recommended therapy to prevent heart failure and improve survival.

• Improving the coordination of care from hospital to home to achieve better outcomes and reduce hospitalizations.

• Specialized training for nurses, physicians, pharmacists and other healthcare professionals to meet the future demands of advanced heart failure care.

• Reducing disparities for heart failure prevention and care among racial, ethnic and socioeconomic subgroups to help close the gap in health outcomes.

• Increasing access to palliative and hospice care for patients with advanced-stage heart failure.

“We have the solutions we need to change the course of heart failure in this country, but we must take steps now to reverse the trend,” said American Heart Association CEO Nancy Brown. “If we treat patients using existing guidelines, improve care transitions, adequately train our healthcare workforce and reduce disparities in the health outcomes of specific populations, we can lessen the burdens of heart failure.

“For those Americans in the last stages of heart failure, we must also increase access to palliative and hospice care to reduce the suffering of their final years.”

The statement does not examine the impact of provisions of the Affordable Care Act. Increased access to preventive care could lower the rates of heart failure and ultimately costs, Heidenreich said. Being an ethnic minority and of a lower socioeconomic status were cited as risk factors for heart failure, so more access to healthcare may help reduce overall risk.

Download a PDF of the study:


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